Washington Commanders vs New Orleans Saints
Terry McLaurin has been excellent all season long, but his connection with Jayden Daniels took off after his game-winning touchdown against the Bengals in Week 3. Since then, Terry has outperformed this week's current prop line (66.5 rec yd) 7 out of 11 weeks. The Saints secondary features some tough football players, but no one to be concerned about regarding actual production. Terry gets the chance to prove what the Saints are missing since trading Marshon Lattimore to the Commanders. If the game is competitive at all, Jayden Daniels should get a little showcase love for his homecoming.
Jake Haener's game is similar to Derek Carr. Expect him to lean on Alvin Kamara in the pass game. Add Alvin Kamara receiving yards for that extra cajun spice.
Core Play:
Terry McLaurin o66.5 rec yd (-115)
QB/WR Stack:
1) Jayden Daniels o200 pass yd
2) Jayden Daniels o1.5 pass TD
3) Terry McLaurin o66.5 rec yd
4) Terry McLaurin 1 TD
+415
5) Alvin Kamara o30.5 rec yd
+850
Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle feel like they're back on track as Tyreek FINALLY captured his 2nd 100yd game this season. Tua Tagovailoa is on a hot streak of three straight 300 yard games, and this matchup should prove to be another shootout. The Texans secondary is on a similar streak as they've let their last three opponents beat their pass yardage props. Tyreek Hill has crossed his current prop 4/7 times since Tua returned from concussion. The 3 misses were all games where Miami had a sizeable lead. With CJ Stroud on the opposite end, I expect McDaniel to feel the need to keep his foot on the gas and forcefeed their playmakers.
Core Play:
Tyreek Hill o71.5 rec yd (-135)
QB/WR Stack:
1) Tua Tagovailoa o250 pass yd
2) Tyreek Hill o71.5 rec yd
3) Tyreek Hill 1 TD
+300
New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Aaron Rodgers is washed, but Garrett Wilson is cold as ever. Miami put Jalen Ramsey on the Jets best: Garrett Wilson, and Garrett dominated. While Ramsey is also a bit washed, it's clear the Jets path to victory is to attack this secondary. Davante Adams has collected double digit targets in the 3 of the last 4, but Garrett is the only real explosion element for this team. Jags undisciplined backend won't be able to contain a GWilly blowout.
Core Play:
Garrett Wilson o59.5 rec yard (-120)
Garrett Wilson TD (+160)
Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots
Christian Gonzalez's shadow ability has been an enjoyable highlight this season. Although he can have problems with more physical players, like Brian Thomas, Marvin Harrison Jr. hasn't shown the bully tendencies we were all expecting. Marv's matchup means more looks for Trey McBride who continues to dominate Kyler Murray's mindshare. With an absurd 41 targets over the last three weeks, it's easy to trust McBride again this week.
Core Play:
Trey McBride o61.5 rec yd (-130)
Trey McBride TD (+165)
Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs
If David Njoku is unable to go, it has to be an Elijah Moore game. This should be a clean volume game for Cleveland. While it will be rainy and windy, Jameis Winston should clear his 35.5 pass attempts prop as he's been 40+ in every game except the snow game. Isiah Pacheco looked healthy enough in his return. His yardage line should be fairly easy to hit against a weak Browns unit.
Core Play:
Isiah Pacheco o60.5 rush yd (-115)
Isiah Pacheco TD (+105)
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